Avlon: Virginia election results is not vindication of Trump

John Avlon analyzes the lessons learned from the GOP’s recent victories in the Virginia state elections.
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Position Sizing Basics for Short-Term Trading

Most trading experts agree that money management is one of the most critical aspects of trading. Position sizing — also known as trade sizing, bet sizing or betting strategy — is one of the key elements of money management. Whatever you call it, it’s the process of determining how much to trade. If you trade stocks, it’s the number of shares to trade. If you trade futures or options, it’s the number of contracts. Position sizing can be used to increase returns, reduce risk, improve the risk/return ratio, and smooth the equity curve, among other goals.

Trade the Equity Curve for More Consistent Results

A money management technique that can often improve trading performance is to modify position sizing based on crossovers of a moving average of the equity curve. The basic idea is to either trade more or fewer shares or contracts when the equity curve crosses above or below its moving average. Proper application of equity curve trading techniques can reduce drawdowns, produce a smoother equity curve, and often increase net profitability by reducing losses.

Detecting Over-Fit Trading Strategies

One of the risks of systematic or algorithm trading is that the trading system may be over-fit to the market. Over-fitting means that a strategy that has been designed to work on a given set of market data doesn’t generalize well to other data. Such a system may look good in historical testing but will trade poorly in real time. This article presents a statistical technique to detect over-fit strategies.

Increase Trading Profits by Exploiting Dependency

Trade dependency is the characteristic in which one trade depends on the previous trade. For example, in some trading systems or methods, winning trades tend to follow other winning trades, and losses tend to follow losses. This is known as positive dependency: wins follow wins and losses follow losses. In negative dependency, wins tend to follow losses, and losses tend to follow wins. Properly exploiting dependency can increase profits and reduce risk.

Base Your Trade Size on the Risk

It’s a common axiom of investing that the greater the risk the greater the reward. One method of sizing short-term trades based on this principle is fixed fractional position sizing. The idea behind the fixed fractional method is that you base the number of contracts or shares on the risk of the trade. Fixed fractional position sizing is also known as fixed risk position sizing because it risks the same percentage or fraction of account equity on each trade.

How to Stop Losing Money in Day Trading

This article refers to the problems encountered by day traders. The thesis offers advice on how traders could avoid these mistakes, so as to make handsome profits, without excessive losses. It briefly explains reasons for these mistakes.

Trading: A Dream or the Path to Financial Independence?

It is no secret that times are tough. V.A.T has reached 20%. The fuel duty increase…

Assess Your Trading Risk With Monte Carlo Analysis

Before trading the markets with real money, it’s essential to understand the risk of the trading strategy or method you intend to use. One way to assess risk is by testing your strategy over historical market data to see how well the strategy would have done in the past. While this so-called backtesting approach is very helpful, one of the drawbacks is that the future is never exactly the same as the past. Employing Monte Carlo analysis can help to address this problem.

How Much Money Do You Need to Get Started in Day Trading?

Talks about how much you need to be able to get into “Day Trading”. What you would need to do to achieve it.

How to Make a Living Day Trading

Discusses what is needed to make “day trading” as a good means of lively hood. Stresses on the importance of knowledge acquisition so as to be better informed.

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